Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad
31.6%
Draw
8.9%
Rubin Kazan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.34
Rubin Kazan
Markets
BTTS22.0%
Over 0.579.1%
Over 1.549.1%
Over 2.522.1%
Over 3.58.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
24.2%
0-0
20.9%
2-0
16.1%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-0
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
0-2
1.2%
2-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).