Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Casa Pia
23.7%
Draw
13.8%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Casa Pia
vs
0.74
AVS
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).