Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Juventus
25.7%
Draw
31.0%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Juventus
vs
1.17
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).