Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.2%
RB Leipzig
15.4%
Draw
8.4%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
RB Leipzig
vs
0.81
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
0-0
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).