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HHT: 11CSV

22 Jan 2022 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.2%
Fuenlabrada
27.1%
Draw
53.8%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Fuenlabrada

vs
1.42

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.8%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.8%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).