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10 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.4%
Queens Park
25.6%
Draw
19.0%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Queens Park

vs
1.05

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).