Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
York
15.1%
Draw
8.8%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
York
vs
0.88
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).