Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Paris FC
19.1%
Draw
14.1%
Martigues
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Paris FC
vs
0.74
Martigues
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).