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13 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.4%
Gaziantep
25.6%
Draw
26.0%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Gaziantep

vs
1.51

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS70.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).