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AHT: 01CSV

16 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Alloa
23.4%
Draw
58.3%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Alloa

vs
2.13

Partick

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).