Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Paris FC
26.6%
Draw
16.6%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Paris FC
vs
0.57
Bastia
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.8%
0-0
13.9%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
0-2
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).