Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Trapani
27.8%
Draw
18.4%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Trapani
vs
0.81
Bari
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).