Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Malaga
25.6%
Draw
28.5%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Malaga
vs
1.11
Granada
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).