Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Sheffield United
26.5%
Draw
22.7%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Sheffield United
vs
1.01
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).