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AHT: 01

16 Mar 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.0%
Basel
25.1%
Draw
27.9%
Holker Old Boys

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Basel

vs
1.50

Holker Old Boys

Markets

BTTS68.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).