Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Stoke
32.1%
Draw
30.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Stoke
vs
0.98
Swansea
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).