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HHT: 20CSV

28 Jan 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.5%
Oldham
24.2%
Draw
52.3%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Oldham

vs
1.58

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).