Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Arbroath
27.0%
Draw
52.4%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Arbroath
vs
1.76
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).