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31 Oct 2025 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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88.2%
Bromsgrove Sporting
9.3%
Draw
2.5%
Alverca

Expected Goals (xG)

2.97

Bromsgrove Sporting

vs
0.39

Alverca

Markets

BTTS30.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.3%
3-0
15.2%
4-0
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
1-1
4.3%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).