Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Girona
30.5%
Draw
25.5%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Girona
vs
0.83
Alaves
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).