Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Cesena
23.4%
Draw
57.1%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cesena
vs
1.99
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).