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07 Apr 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.9%
Club Brugge
22.7%
Draw
18.4%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Club Brugge

vs
1.02

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).