Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Trafford
14.3%
Draw
13.1%
Crook Town AFC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96
Trafford
vs
1.23
Crook Town AFC
Markets
BTTS67.0%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.578.9%
Over 3.560.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).