Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
Bastia
26.0%
Draw
57.6%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Bastia
vs
1.38
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.4%
0-2
13.5%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).