Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Mallorca
26.1%
Draw
32.3%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mallorca
vs
1.19
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).