Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Troyes
14.9%
Draw
75.9%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Troyes
vs
2.51
Lens
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-3
10.1%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
7.0%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).