Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Crotone
24.7%
Draw
46.2%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Crotone
vs
1.55
Parma
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).