Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Lille
23.1%
Draw
27.4%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Lille
vs
1.15
Lorient
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).