Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
FC Koln
17.5%
Draw
22.1%
Merstham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
FC Koln
vs
1.59
Merstham
Markets
BTTS73.9%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.6%
Over 3.561.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
1-1
5.9%
3-2
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
1-0
4.0%
4-2
3.7%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).