Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Palermo
24.9%
Draw
15.9%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Palermo
vs
0.84
Perugia
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).