Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Ebbsfleet
21.0%
Draw
57.9%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Ebbsfleet
vs
2.28
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-3
4.8%
1-4
4.1%
0-0
3.3%
0-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).