Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Hoffenheim
17.0%
Draw
15.4%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Hoffenheim
vs
1.32
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS69.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
4-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).