Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.2%
Rio Ave
13.4%
Draw
79.4%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Rio Ave
vs
2.55
Benfica
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.7%
0-3
11.6%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
8.5%
0-4
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
4.6%
0-0
3.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).