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DHT: 00CSV

05 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.2%
Bochum
23.3%
Draw
18.5%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Bochum

vs
1.05

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).