Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Modena
30.3%
Draw
22.1%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Modena
vs
0.85
Reggina
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).