Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Tamworth
26.2%
Draw
26.8%
Fylde
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Tamworth
vs
1.20
Fylde
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).