Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Lorient
23.5%
Draw
43.1%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Lorient
vs
1.61
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).