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AHT: 01CSV

23 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Barrow
24.3%
Draw
53.8%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

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vs
1.57

Bradford

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).