Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Exeter
25.1%
Draw
24.3%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Exeter
vs
0.87
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).