⚽ FootballData
2 – 2
DHT: 10CSV

22 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
32.8%
Altrincham
28.2%
Draw
39.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Altrincham

vs
1.39

Torquay

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).