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20 Mar 2021 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Genclerbirligi
34.5%
Draw
25.4%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Genclerbirligi

vs
1.00

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.3%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).