Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Vallecano
32.2%
Draw
30.1%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Vallecano
vs
0.84
Leganes
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
15.9%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).