Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.9%
Fenerbahce
16.5%
Draw
5.6%
Altay
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Fenerbahce
vs
0.70
Altay
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
5-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).