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AHT: 02CSV

14 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Altrincham
29.1%
Draw
47.5%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Altrincham

vs
1.42

Bromley

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).