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25 Aug 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Standard
31.9%
Draw
28.6%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Standard

vs
0.91

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.8%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).