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HHT: 10CSV

02 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.4%
Charlton
19.2%
Draw
14.4%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Charlton

vs
0.75

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
2-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).