Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Cremonese
24.5%
Draw
16.7%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Cremonese
vs
0.89
Brescia
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).