Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
Motherwell
16.1%
Draw
7.1%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Motherwell
vs
0.62
Livingston
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
0-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).