Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Las Palmas
33.8%
Draw
19.0%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Las Palmas
vs
0.54
Burgos
Markets
BTTS26.7%
Over 0.579.4%
Over 1.546.5%
Over 2.521.0%
Over 3.57.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.6%
0-0
20.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
6.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).