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DHT: 10CSV

10 Dec 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Stuttgart
25.4%
Draw
35.1%
Leverkusen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Stuttgart

vs
1.50

Leverkusen

Markets

BTTS62.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).